The New York Yankees (18-12) and Baltimore Orioles (11-18) wrap up their 3-game series Wednesday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore is set for 6:35 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Yankees vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1
The Yankees secured their third win in the last 4 games, dominating the Baltimore Orioles 15-3 on Tuesday night as a -170 road favorite. New York hit 6 home runs, with designated hitter Ben Rice leading the charge, going 3-for-5 with 2 HRs, 4 runs scored, and 2 RBIs. SP Carlos Rodon was sharp on the mound, allowing 2 earned runs over 6 innings with 7 strikeouts.
The Orioles won the series opener 4-3, but the Tuesday loss was their 7th in the last 9 games. SP Kyle Gibson was hammered, giving up 9 ER on 11 hits, including 5 homers. The Orioles managed just 3 hits, with SS Gunnar Henderson hitting a solo HR. Baltimore will look to avoid its 4th consecutive series loss on Wednesday..
Yankees at Orioles projected starters
RHP Carlos Carrasco vs. RHP Cade Povich
Carrasco (2-1, 5.26 ERA) will make his sixth start and seventh appearance. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 in 25 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 4-2 loss at Toronto Blue Jays Friday
- Last start vs. Orioles: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 4 BB, 5 K in 8-4 home victory Aug. 8, 2024, as a member of the Cleveland Guardians
- Career vs. Orioles: 4-2, 2.22 ERA (48 2/3 IP, 12 ER), 1.08 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 in 9 appearances (8 starts)
Povich (1-2, 5.04 ERA) is also making his sixth start. He has a 1.72 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 25 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 2-1 win at Washington Nationals Thursday
- Career vs. Yankees: 0-1, 3.60 ERA (10 IP, 4 ER), 1.60 WHIP, 6.3 K/9 in 2 starts
- 2025 home stats: 0-1, 8.76 ERA (12 1/3 IP, 12 ER), 18 H, 8 BB, 14 K in 3 starts
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Yankees at Orioles odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:25 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Yankees -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Orioles +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+135) | Orioles +1.5 (-160)
- Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Yankees at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 6, Orioles 2
Moneyline
PASS.
If you would feel more comfortable betting the Yankees (-125) on the moneyline, that’s understandable but I’d rather get the better odds on the run line.
Run line/Against the spread
BET YANKEES -1.5 (+135).
The Yankees are the clear play given the struggles of the Orioles. Baltimore has been particularly poor on the mound at home this season, sitting at the bottom of the MLB with a 6.56 team ERA. At the plate, they’re also struggling, batting just .227 at home, ranked 27th in the league. The Orioles have lost 4 of their last 5 games and dropped their last 3 series.
In contrast, the Yankees are one of the best hitting teams on the road, with a .269 team average, ranked third in MLB. Led by 1B Paul Goldschmidt, hitting .458 away from Yankee Stadium, and OF Aaron Judge, hitting .368 on the road, New York’s offense is in great form. With a better road record (8-7) than Baltimore’s home record (6-7), the Yankees should come out strong and seal the rubber match on Wednesday.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 10 (-115).
The Over has hit in 3 of the last 4 meetings between these teams, but both have been trending Under recently. The Orioles are 8-2 to the Under in their last 10 games, while the Under has cashed in 5 of the Yankees’ last 7 contests. Baltimore is averaging just 3 runs per game over its last 4 contests, making the Under the stronger play here.
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