Orioles vs. Yankees Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 30

Data Skrive

Ryan O’Hearn and the Baltimore Orioles square off against Trent Grisham and the New York Yankees at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Wednesday, at 6:35 p.m. ET. The Yankees have been listed as -106 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the Orioles (-114). New York (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The game’s over/under has been set at 9.5 runs.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Orioles-Yankees game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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The New York Yankees’ Aaron Judge, Ben Rice and Cody Bellinger smacked BACK-TO-BACK-TO-BACK homers vs. the Orioles

Orioles vs. Yankees Game Information & Odds

When: Wednesday, April 30, 2025 at 6:35 p.m. ET
Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland
How to watch on TV: MASN and Amazon Prime Video

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds Orioles -114 -106 9.5 -105 -115 -1.5 -175 +146

Orioles vs. Yankees Prediction

Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Orioles 4
Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Orioles 55%, Yankees 45%

Orioles vs. Yankees Betting Insights

The Orioles have entered the game as favorites 15 times this season and won five, or 33.3%, of those games.
This season Baltimore has won five of its 14 games, or 35.7%, when favored by at least -114 on the moneyline.
The implied probability of a win from the Orioles, based on the moneyline, is 53.3%.
The Yankees have won in one of the five contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
This season, New York has been a moneyline underdog of -114 or longer four times, losing every contest.
The Yankees have an implied victory probability of 51.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

The Orioles were favored on the moneyline in five of their last 10 games, and they finished 1-4 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 outings, the Orioles and their opponents combined to go over the run total three times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Orioles have gone 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total Record 3-7 Runs Per Game 2.8 HR 10 ERA 7.62 K/9 7.8

Orioles Player Insights

Cedric Mullins is the bat to watch in the Orioles lineup, leading the team in batting average (.283), home runs (6), and RBI (20).
In all of Major League Baseball, Mullins ranks 30th in home runs and 23rd in RBI.
O’Hearn has three doubles, five home runs and seven walks while hitting .300.
Adley Rutschman is batting .208 with two doubles, four home runs and 15 walks.
Gunnar Henderson is hitting .227 with six doubles, a triple, three home runs and five walks.
Henderson has recorded at least one hit in five straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .316 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and two RBI.

Orioles Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U Ryan O’Hearn 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+150) – 0.5 (+170) Ryan Mountcastle 0.5 (-275) 1.5 (+115) – 0.5 (+150) Heston Kjerstad 0.5 (-205) 1.5 (+140) – 0.5 (+175) Cedric Mullins 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+125) – 0.5 (+200) Adley Rutschman 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+130) – 0.5 (+130)

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

Over the past 10 games, the Yankees have been underdogs twice and lost both games.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Yankees and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
The Yankees have won four of their last 10 games against the spread.

Yankees Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total Record 5-5 Runs Per Game 5.9 HR 17 ERA 3.10 K/9 7.1

Yankees Player Insights

Aaron Judge paces the Yankees with nine home runs and 29 runs batted in, while posting a team-high batting average of .412.
In all of the big leagues, Judge is third in home runs and second in RBI.
Judge has collected a hit in 10 straight games. In his last 10 games he is hitting .463 with two doubles, a triple, two home runs, five walks and seven RBI.
Ben Rice has four doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 13 walks while hitting .278.
Rice is 10th among all batters in the big leagues in home runs, and 92nd in RBI.
Anthony Volpe is hitting .234 with 10 doubles, five home runs and 13 walks.
Grisham has a double, eight home runs and seven walks while batting .294.

Yankees Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U Cody Bellinger 0.5 (-245) 1.5 (+130) – 0.5 (+145) Anthony Volpe 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+140) – 0.5 (+160) Paul Goldschmidt 1.5 (+165) 1.5 (-105) – 0.5 (+175) Aaron Judge 1.5 (+200) 1.5 (-120) – 0.5 (+110) Oswald Peraza 0.5 (-140) 0.5 (-145) – 0.5 (+240)