Are the Badgers on upset watch in the 2nd round of the NCAA Tournament?

The Wisconsin Badgers will take on the BYU Cougars in the Round of 32 on Saturday, with the winner moving on to the Sweet Sixteen in Newark next week.

The Badgers kicked off the NCAA Tournament with an 85-66 win over the Montana Grizzlies on Thursday morning, pulling away at the end for the blowout victory in the first round.

BYU, on the other hand, controlled their game against the VCU Rams, ultimately winning 80-71 thanks to a strong shooting day.

Now, the two teams will face off in the No. 3 seed vs. No. 6 seed matchup at the Ball Arena in Denver, with tip-off set for 6:45 p.m. central.

While Wisconsin has had one of the strongest seasons in program history, they’re only a 1.5-point favorite against BYU, which has the geographical advantage on Saturday with both proximity and altitude.

Are the Badgers on upset watch on Saturday against the Cougars? Let’s look at expert predictions.

Mike DeCourcy: No. 6 BYU over No. 3 Wisconsin

Scott Van Pelt: No. 6 BYU over No. 3 Wisconsin

Dick Vitale: No. 3 Wisconsin over No. 6 BYU

Jay Bilas: No. 6 BYU over No. 3 Wisconsin

Rece Davis: No. 6 BYU over No. 3 Wisconsin

Seth Greenberg: No. 6 BYU over No. 3 Wisconsin

Matt Norlander: No. 6 BYU over No. 3 Wisconsin

Looking at expert brackets, a majority of people who selected Wisconsin and BYU to advance have now picked the Cougars to reach the Sweet Sixteen.

While these are just bracket predictions, there is the case for BYU. They’re one of the most efficient offenses in the country, as witnessed by their first-round victory over VCU where they shot 50 percent from the field and 35 percent from three, despite facing a top-25 defense.

If Wisconsin starts sluggishly and can’t get its shots to fall, they may struggle to keep up with BYU’s offense. The Badgers are reaching the elite range defensively though, jumping inside the top 25 in KenPom after their win over Montana, while the Cougars are much further behind at No. 69.

So, if Wisconsin can control the pace of the game (BYU ranks 183rd in tempo), they’re better suited to defend the Cougars’ half-court offense and advance to the Sweet Sixteen.

Nonetheless, it’s going to be a tough matchup for the Badgers, as seen by expert predictions and the odds being as close as they are. So, they’ll need their best version to come out and play on Saturday. Otherwise, their season could be over sooner than anticipated.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *