The FIFA Club World Cup quarterfinals wrap up on Saturday afternoon with a must-see rematch of the 2024 Champions League Final between Real Madrid and Borussia Dortmund.
Los Blancos won last year’s UCL Final 2-0. They’re heavily favored to once again take down Dortmund on Saturday afternoon at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey.
In fact, recently hired Real Madrid manager Xabi Alonso and Co. are listed by most sportsbooks at -320 (implied probability: 76.2 percent) or shorter to advance.
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Real Madrid vs. Borussia Dortmund Odds
Below are the odds in the two most popular markets for soccer matches: three-way moneyline and match winner.
Club World Cup QF Moneyline Odds: Real Madrid vs. Dortmund
The DraftKings, FanDuel and bet365 three-way moneyline odds below apply to today’s result after 90 minutes, plus stoppage time.
DKFDbet365Real Madrid-160-175-167Borussia Dortmund+400+410+400Draw+340+330+333
Club World Cup QF Winner Odds: Real Madrid vs. Dortmund
It’s also possible to simply bet on which team will advance to the semifinals. In this market, it doesn’t matter whether the winner comes out on top in 90 minutes, extras or PKs.
DKFDbet365Real Madrid-320-355-350Borussia Dortmund+240+270+250
How to Watch Real Madrid vs. Dortmund
- Kickoff: 4 p.m. ET
- TV: TNT/truTV/Univision/DAZN
Real Madrid vs. Dortmund Pick, Best Bets
How They Got Here
Both Madrid and Dortmund have been impressive through group play and one match of knockout action, especially the former.
RM has outscored its last three CWC opponents by a combined score of 7-1, including a 3-0 shutout of RB Salzburg to close group play and a 1-0 win over Juventus in the round of 16.
Dortmund has not been dominant (it reached the quarters by earning a draw and three one-goal victories), but it’s nevertheless been a strong showing to date by Niko Kovac’s squad.
Real Madrid vs. Borussia Dortmund Betting News, Analysis
Oddsmakers are giving Real Madrid a ton of respect in this matchup, but are they overlooking Borussia Dortmund?
While Los Blancos have a talent advantage, BVB has more than enough firepower to at least keep this game close, even against an RM side coming off a 1-0 win over Juve that was not nearly as close as the final score indicated.
Madrid had a 57-43 advantage in possession and recorded 11 shots on goal while allowing just two by Juventus. Per analytics site FOTMOB, Real Madrid won the xG battle in that game 1.57 to 0.77, and it created 5 big chances while only surrendering 1.
Dortmund was impressive in the Round of 16 vs. Liga MX side Monterrey, making the most of its chances despite losing the possession battle 58-42. BVB jumped out to a 2-0 lead after 24 minutes thanks to a quick brace by Serhou Guirassy, then held on to win 2-1 and advance. Remarkably, Dortmund held Monterrey to just 0.85 xG on seven shots on target.
In today’s matchup, Dortmund will need to once again make the most of the chances it gets against Real Madrid, which will likely control possession. A key question for BVB will be how it fares without rising star Jobe Bellingham, who will miss this match due to suspension (yellow cards).
Real Madrid vs. Borussia Dortmund Best Bets
Hot lukewarm at best take: I think Real Madrid will find a way to advance, but I don’t think they’ll cruise. In a tough matchup to predict — I think Dortmund is more than good enough to make this interesting — there aren’t any slam-dunk bets that stand out to me, but the halftime draw is enticing, especially at longer than +150 odds.
For a safer play, consider parlaying Real Madrid to win and Over 1.5 Goals (in 90 minutes) at -135.
- Halftime Draw (+160 at bet365) — 0.5 units
- Parlay: 3-way moneyline RM to win + Over 1.5 Goals (-135 at DK) — 1 units
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