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The Golden State Warriors are set to host the Houston Rockets in Game 3 of their 2025 NBA playoff series on Saturday. The Warriors won Game 1 behind a dominant performance on the defensive end, beating Houston 95-85. The Rockets responded with a dominant win of their own in Game 2, beating Golden State 109-94. These teams played five times during the regular season, with Golden State winning three of the five games. This is the fifth postseason series between the franchises, and the Warriors won each of the first four.
Tipoff from the Chase Center in San Francisco is at 8:30 p.m. ET. Golden State is a 3-point favorite in the latest Warriors vs. Rockets odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, and the over/under for total points scored is 203.5. Before locking in any Rockets vs. Warriors picks, be sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters the first full week of the 2025 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 156-116 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $4,000. It is also 22-11 (67%) on top-rated NBA against-the-spread picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
Now, the model has simulated Warriors vs. Rockets 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NBA picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and NBA betting lines for Warriors vs. Rockets:
- Warriors vs. Rockets spread: Warriors -3 at DraftKings Sportsbook
- Warriors vs. Rockets over/under: 203.5 points
- Warriors vs. Rockets money line: Golden State -160, Houston +135
- GSW: The Warriors are 43-40-2 against the spread this season
- HOU: The Rockets are 44-40 against the spread this season
- Warriors vs. Rockets picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Warriors vs. Rockets streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why the Warriors can cover
The Warriors have a significant advantage when it comes to postseason experience. Golden State has won four NBA titles under head coach Steve Kerr, and point guard Stephen Curry is an 11-time All-Star and was the 2022 NBA Finals MVP. Golden State also added veteran Jimmy Butler prior to the trade deadline, and he bring vast postseason experience to the Warriors locker room as well, though he is listed as questionable for this one with a pelvic contusion.
Curry has had another outstanding season in 2024-25. The two-time NBA MVP averaged 24.5 points, 6.0 assists, and 4.4 rebounds per game during the regular season. Through two games in this series, Curry is averaging 25.5 points, 6.0 assists and 5.5 rebounds per game. See which team to back at SportsLine.
Why the Rockets can cover
Houston finished the regular season with a 52-30 overall record, which was good for the No. 2 seed in the Western Conference. The Rockets have also played well away from home this season, going 22-19 against the spread in road games. Houston was dominant on both ends in Game 2, led by 38 points from rising star Jalen Green.
Green led the way for the Rockets during the regular season, with per game averages of 21.0 points, 4.6 rebounds and 3.4 assists. Center Alperen Sengun has developed into a double-double machine, averaging 19.1 points, 10.3 rebounds and 4.9 assists per game during the regular season. In total, the Rockets had seven players average double figures in scoring during the regular season. See which team to back at SportsLine.
How to make Rockets vs. Warriors picks
SportsLine’s model has simulated Rockets vs. Warriors and is leaning Over on the point total, projecting 208 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s NBA picks.
So who wins Warriors vs. Rockets, and which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Rockets vs. Warriors spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $10,000 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.
